International Conference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering

Home / 11th International Conference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering

A novel hybrid DMHS-GMDH algorithm to predict COVID-19 pandemic time series

Authors :

Ahmad Taheri¹ Shahriar Ghashghaei² Amin Beheshti³ Keyvan RahimiZadeh⁴

1- Yasouj University 2- Tehran University of Medical Sciences 3- Macquarie University 4- Yasouj University, Macquarie University

Keywords :

COVID-19, pandemic, machine learning, harmony search, metaheuristic algorithm

Abstract :

In this paper, a novel hybrid method called DMHS-GMDH is presented to predict the time series of COVID-19 outbreaks. In this way, a new version of Harmony Search (HS) algorithm, named Double Memory HS (DMHS), is designed to optimize the structure of a Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) type neural network. We conduct a series of experiments by applying proposed method on real COVID-19 dataset to forecast new cases and deaths of COVID-19. The statistical analysis indicates that the DMHS-GMDH algorithm on average provides better results than other competitors and the results demonstrate how our approach at least improves coefficient of determination and RMSE by 21% and 45%, respectively.

List of archived papers

Real-Time Vehicle Detection and Classification in UAV imagery Using Improved YOLOv5

Mohammad Hossein Hamzenejadi - Hadis Mohseni

Maximum diffusion of news in social media with the approach of reducing the search space

Masoud Karian

Span-prediction of Unknown Values for Long-sequence Dialogue State Tracking

Marzieh Naghdi Dorabati - Reza Ramezani - Mohammad Ali Nematbakhsh

Ramp Progressive Secret Image Sharing using Ensemble of Simple Methods

Atieh Mokhtari - Mohammad Taheri

Forecasting El Niño Six Months in Advance Utilizing Augmented Convolutional Neural Network

Mohammad Naisipour - Iraj Saeedpanah - Arash Adib - Mohammad Hossein Neisi Pour

A Survey of the AVOA Metaheuristic Algorithm and its Suitability for Power System Optimization and Damping Controller Design

Aliyu Sabo - Theophilus Ebuka Odoh - Samuel Habu - Hossien Shahinzadeh - Farshad Ebrahimi

Human vs NotebookLM for Educational Podcasts: A Controlled Experiment on Two General Topics

Ali Banihashemi - Amirali Shahriary - Yadollah Yaghoobzadeh

Real-time Implementation of Fuzzy Visual Servoing for a Delta Robot via Shape and Color Detection

Nooshin Najafian - Alireza Ashrafi Majd - Abbas Ansaroudi - Sahar Aghazadeh - Manizheh Zakeri - Mohammad-Reza Sayyed Noorani

Damage Detection After the Earthquake Using Sentinel-1 and 2 Images and Machine Learning Algorithms (Case Study: Sarpol-e Zahab Earthquake)

Niloofar Alizadeh - Behnam Asghari Beirami - Mehdi Mokhtarzade

Optimizing MR Image Registration for Accurate Brain Volume Measurement in Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder

Shiva Sanati - Mahdi Saadatmand

more

Samin Hamayesh - Version 43.7.0